Rollup Decentralization Roadmap — Year One

Where every major rollup actually sits on the centralization curve.

One year after Vitalik's rollup centralization roadmap, we score every major rollup on sequencer, prover, and governance decentralization.

The Engineering Story

The most interesting part of this update is what it takes to ship at the scale these teams now operate at. Coordinated forks, multi-client compatibility, and a release cadence that doesn't break downstream tooling have become as important as the raw protocol improvements themselves.

Validator operator economics keep getting tighter. Margins compressed, hardware demands up, and the long tail of independent operators is consolidating.

Why It Matters for Builders

• Composability. Every upgrade either preserves or breaks the contract surface apps were written against.
• Bandwidth. Throughput only matters if peripheral systems keep up.
• Security model. Modular stacks introduce new trust assumptions.
• Cost. Real per-transaction cost, fully loaded, is an order-of-magnitude conversation now.

Adoption Curve

The application layer responds slowly to L1 improvements. Most apps don't care about a 2x throughput bump because they aren't throughput-bound. The ones that do — orderbook DEXs, on-chain games, micropayment rails — are the leading indicators.

The Competitive Frame

Competition between L1s is no longer a TPS race. It's a developer-experience race.

What Comes Next

Watch the next two upgrade cycles. Most chains have one major release left in the current architecture.

Infrastructure is plumbing. Plumbing matters most when it stops working.